主题：“Economic shocks and civil conflict: Evidence from financial crisis”
主办单位：中国财政发展协同创新中心
时间：2017年11月22 日（周三）13:30-15:00  
地点：沙河校区主教403室  
 
主讲人：Eric Lenz
The speaker is an assistant professor in Texas A&M’s Department of Economics and the Bush School of Government and Public Service teaching economic data analysis, economic forecasting, and international economics. He researches international economics and finance with a focus on conflict, terrorism, and other market disruptions.

讲座概要:
Recent development research relates civil conflict risk to exogenous income shocks. Income decline in small open economies relates to the recent global financial crisis that began in the U.S. Can a financial crisis with origins in a major industrial country increase conflict risk in small open economies through a decline in income? Using direct measures of financial crisis, and controlling for country-specific effects on the incidence of conflict, I find negative income effects from exogenous financial crises and their associated income redistribution that relate to increased civil conflict risk. Furthermore, I find some evidence of increased conflict risk in ethnically-fractionalized, capitalist economies that redistribute income during a financial crisis.